Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 0.000200 0.000223 0.000247 0.000275 0.000306 0.000341 0.000382
2025-02-23 0.000157 0.000189 0.000227 0.000274 0.000333 0.000404 0.000497
2025-03-02 0.000132 0.000169 0.000214 0.000275 0.000357 0.000463 0.000613
2025-03-09 0.000115 0.000152 0.000202 0.000274 0.000375 0.000514 0.000725
2025-03-16 0.000098 0.000135 0.000186 0.000262 0.000375 0.000539 0.000802
2025-03-23 0.000089 0.000126 0.000180 0.000264 0.000393 0.000591 0.000924
2025-03-30 0.000083 0.000122 0.000180 0.000273 0.000424 0.000664 0.001091
2025-04-06 0.000075 0.000113 0.000171 0.000267 0.000428 0.000696 0.001194
2025-04-13 0.000066 0.000102 0.000158 0.000253 0.000418 0.000702 0.001251
2025-04-20 0.000062 0.000097 0.000154 0.000254 0.000433 0.000753 0.001396
2025-04-27 0.000059 0.000095 0.000154 0.000260 0.000457 0.000822 0.001589
2025-05-04 0.000055 0.000090 0.000149 0.000258 0.000466 0.000864 0.001733
2025-05-11 0.000052 0.000087 0.000147 0.000262 0.000487 0.000933 0.001953
2025-05-18 0.000048 0.000082 0.000142 0.000259 0.000497 0.000984 0.002145
2025-05-25 0.000045 0.000079 0.000139 0.000260 0.000513 0.001050 0.002383
2025-06-01 0.000042 0.000075 0.000135 0.000259 0.000524 0.001108 0.002616
2025-06-08 0.000039 0.000070 0.000127 0.000248 0.000514 0.001114 0.002721
2025-06-15 0.000037 0.000067 0.000125 0.000249 0.000530 0.001186 0.003011
2025-06-22 0.000036 0.000067 0.000126 0.000258 0.000565 0.001306 0.003462
2025-06-29 0.000033 0.000063 0.000121 0.000252 0.000565 0.001340 0.003675
2025-07-06 0.000031 0.000058 0.000113 0.000240 0.000546 0.001323 0.003735
2025-07-13 0.000029 0.000056 0.000112 0.000241 0.000561 0.001399 0.004097
2025-07-20 0.000028 0.000056 0.000112 0.000246 0.000589 0.001513 0.004612